Too Much Stuff is Like Too Many Stocks: Dealing with Clutter and Overdiversification
diversification, psychology September 22nd, 2008
With all the financial guidance hoopla focused on ensuring that you are diversified enough, it’s easy to forget about the problem of overdiversification. I admit that it’s not something I’ve had to think too much about yet as I am still building my portfolio. But it occurred to me today as I was doing some fall cleaning that having too much stuff makes decision-making more difficult. If you have 50 options to choose from, you might be left with analysis paralysis.
On the other hand, if you have only four options to choose from, it’s much easier to make a decision.
This is why it feels easier to think in your office once it’s cleaned up and everything is off your desk or out of sight (much better if it’s truly organized and out of sight, of course). Having stuff lying around is like having a hundred things on your mind at once. Psychological research has shown that humans are capable of viewing and remembering (in short-term memory) only about 7 things at once. It’s called subitizing. Seven is the highest number we can subitize, that is, count visually at a glance.
So I’m thinking it might also help if you used that number seven and employed in in other areas. Have no more than seven pairs of shoes of all sorts (men might need less), seven sweaters, seven pairs of pants, seven items on your desk, seven things on your to-do list. Etc. What do you think? It’s worth a try. The number might need to be adjusted slightly higher or lower, but if seven is some kind of natural visual-cognitive limit, it makes sense that it might function that way in other areas of our lives too.
How does this apply to stocks? Clearly, it’s probably not going to be a good idea to keep only seven stocks if you’ve got a portfolio of $100,000. But if you have too many stocks, it’s going to be more difficult to keep track of them (not insurmountable, though), and it’s going to take longer to make any one investment decision. Some of the ishares ETFs only carry about 70 or so stocks. These have professional managers working at the helm. I’d advise that you probably shouldn’t carry more than 50 or so stocks yourself unless you can devote much, much more time to it. I do know one millionaire who manages his own portfolio of more than 100 stocks. I’m sure it’s doable, but at that point it’s probably a full-time job.
Just like clutter and clothes, you need to weed out the stocks that aren’t working for you anymore. Check every two years. Maybe you’ve learned more about your investment options and have thus expanded your working context. You might know now that you don’t need a stock that you thought you needed. Or you’ve learned more about one industry and now you know you don’t want to be a part of it. Whatever it is, get rid of stocks that aren’t working for you - have they cut their dividends? Are they looking for a buyer? Is their industry dead?
I admit I haven’t mastered the art of letting go of stocks, however. So far I’ve only been able to do that with Nortel, and good thing I did let that go. It never recovered; it was a deadweight in my portfolio.
Are there any stocks you’re still holding on to because you are afraid to sell them? What size of portfolio are you comfortable with? I always like to hear another opinion. Leave a comment below, and don’t forget to subscribe to my feed for more discussion.













