From the category archives:

recession

Now that the debt ceiling has been raised and the media have already turned to the question of how Obama will be celebrating his 50th birthday, it behooves us to consider the new market slump that has sunk in following registration of the reality of America’s debt situation.  Immediate crisis would seem to have been [...]

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The U.S. economic “recovery” is showing signs of officially slowing down at the ripe old age of two years.  This is threatening to look like the end of a bull market (and it would be happening at a seasonally appropriate time for it, too).  Bull nor bear, we’re likely to be in a trading range [...]

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Trading volumes have been historically low and stock markets in a trading range for quite some time now, even taking the brief September rally into consideration (buoyed by the Aug. 27 Jackson Hole speech comments by Bernanke with a view to the necessity for more quantitative easing in the near future).
Any given hour of the [...]

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Gordon Gekko turns from bull*hitter to born-again permabear and back again in Oliver Stone’s latest Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (2010), a film with as many mixed messages as the S&P over the past year.
The plot of the entire film is driven by the ups and downs of the market – a mix of unpredictable [...]

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By all counts it seems clear that the odds of the U.S. falling into a double-dip recession have increased.  If you just look at the charts of the DJIA alone, you can see the breakdown in prices, but there are other factors, too.
1. State Anti-Stimulus Programs Larger than Federal Stimulus Programs.  I think this was [...]

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If you’re in the U.S., you may be justified in blaming your banking industry (you definitely are), but just make sure that you know you’re talking specifically about U.S. banks.  Not all banks around the world screwed everyone over.
Let me remind you that banking cultures are very different around the world.  They don’t all set [...]

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With the US dollar increasingly perceived to be walking on shakier ground, and no significant signs in sight that the US will be able to pay off its debts without radical quantitative easing (i.e., effective devaluation of the dollar); continued unemployment levels near 10% and no short-term fix in the ongoing housing slump (more foreclosures [...]

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