From the category archives:

recession

Even China Is Cutting Rates

June 8, 2012

in 2012, Asia, Australia, BRIC, China, USD, bubble, central banks, commodities, foreign investment, forex, indicators, interest rates, international economy, market reports, news and updates, recession, risk, sovereign debt

Last week we were surprised to see a 25 basis point rate cut by Australia – whose inflation and unemployment levels are in a healthy range – so to now see that even China has cut interest rates, well, that’s telling you something significant about the weakness and risks facing global growth.
First Rate Cut Since [...]

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How Soon For the Next Round of Stimulus?

June 7, 2012

in 2012, 2013, 2014, FOMC, Federal Reserve, Germany, Obama, QE, US Treasury, US debt, central banks, debt, economy, employment, forecasts, government, inflation, news and updates, recession, stimulus

Heads of the Federal Reserves of Atlanta, St. Louis and San Francisco this week have all expressed agreement on the fact that more stimulus – aka monetary accomodation -  is needed for the US economy.  John Williams (San Francisco), Dennis Lockhart (Atlanta) and James Bullard (St. Louis) – all voting members of the FOMC (Federal [...]

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5 Disheartening New Economic Developments

August 3, 2011 · 1 comment

in 2011, August, S&P 500, US debt, US economy, debt, economy, employment, forecasts, fundamentals, gold, indicators, layoffs, market reports, recession, seasonal investing, summer, unemployment

Now that the debt ceiling has been raised and the media have already turned to the question of how Obama will be celebrating his 50th birthday, it behooves us to consider the new market slump that has sunk in following registration of the reality of America’s debt situation.  Immediate crisis would seem to have been [...]

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Why Stocks Will Be Stagnant Over the Summer

June 3, 2011

in DJIA, QE, S&P 500, deflation, earnings, economy, holidays, indicators, market reports, news and updates, recession, seasonal investing

The U.S. economic “recovery” is showing signs of officially slowing down at the ripe old age of two years.  This is threatening to look like the end of a bull market (and it would be happening at a seasonally appropriate time for it, too).  Bull nor bear, we’re likely to be in a trading range [...]

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Next Big Date for Stock Markets: Nov 2-3

October 15, 2010

in 2010, FOMC, Federal Reserve, USD, indicators, inflation, market reports, market timing, money supply, news and updates, recession, stimulus, stimulus plan

Trading volumes have been historically low and stock markets in a trading range for quite some time now, even taking the brief September rally into consideration (buoyed by the Aug. 27 Jackson Hole speech comments by Bernanke with a view to the necessity for more quantitative easing in the near future).
Any given hour of the [...]

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Money Never Sleeps – But Forward Thinking Does

September 25, 2010 · 3 comments

in US economy, bubble, capitalism, collapse, entertainment, films, market reports, money lessons, money mistakes, recession

Gordon Gekko turns from bull*hitter to born-again permabear and back again in Oliver Stone’s latest Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (2010), a film with as many mixed messages as the S&P over the past year.
The plot of the entire film is driven by the ups and downs of the market – a mix of unpredictable [...]

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Increased Odds of a Double-Dip

July 4, 2010 · 3 comments

in Federal Reserve, US debt, US economy, collapse, debt, deficits, deflation, economy, forecasts, market crash, market reports, recession, stimulus

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By all counts it seems clear that the odds of the U.S. falling into a double-dip recession have increased.  If you just look at the charts of the DJIA alone, you can see the breakdown in prices, but there are other factors, too.
1. State Anti-Stimulus Programs Larger than Federal Stimulus Programs.  I think this was [...]

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