From the category archives:

seasonal investing

There are theories about the impact of the moon on stocks and theories about the effect that January has on markets (no less astrological, perhaps).  If seasonal investing on its own begins to tilt towards the wishful and superstitious, it shouldn’t come as any surprise that gold price analysis – bolstered by the croon and [...]

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Gold prices broke out past the $1300/oz mark later in September, just as I predicted in my post on gold prices in August.  It didn’t take much market turmoil or negative market news to push gold higher – just the promise of QE lite in November and the prospect that the midterm elections will remain [...]

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At gold’s present rate of return, we’ll see gold price at at least $1400 an ounce in one year.  Remember that just a year ago gold was still testing the $1000/oz. mark.  And so this estimate of gold rising by another $200 already starts to seem conservative.  If gold’s pace of increase is quickening, we [...]

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Aside from the relative success of BP finally (mostly) stopping the oil flow in the Gulf, there really hasn’t been a lot of game-changing news in the markets recently.  Sure, we have the announcement of the BlackBerry Torch, or the acquisition of Red Back Mining by Kinross, and the decision by the Bank of Australia [...]

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Many investors are familiar with the phrase “sell in May and go away.”  This has certainly been true in May 2010: Greece debt problems, the sinking Euro, the downgrade of Spain’s credit rating and the BP oil spill debacle have taken their toll on markets worldwide.  Oh, and then there was the mysterious May 6th [...]

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Predicting where the stock market will go in February might be a lesson in futility more than futurity, but that doesn’t mean we can’t pay close attention to what the analysts are looking out for – and other key pieces of market news such as earnings, announcements from the Fed, levels of consumer credit card [...]

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What’s “the January Effect”? It’s a simple seasonal investing rule that goes something like this: “as goes January, so goes the rest of the year.”
Seasonal investing is not quite an investment style, but more like a strategy, for making trades that correspond to cyclical market trends around the year.  Certain events, and thus market movements, [...]

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