Jim Cramer’s Top Ten Stock Picks for Diversification
books, investing (general) July 27th, 2008
This past weekend I was in my local library and perusing through the financial section when I picked up Jim Cramer’s Real Money (2005) and Mad Money (2006) books. I’d heard obliquely of Cramer before, but, I think because historically I’ve been so focussed on “DRIPPING” as my sole investing strategy, I’d never had much need for diverse theories about how to invest in stocks. It was just simple: enrol in a good ten DRIPS and you’re set. My DRIPS are already very well diversified. It boggles me that some authors (and apparently a lot of radio listeners) find diversification such a hard issue to comprehend or get down.
Cramer spends a lot of time in Real Money going over how to properly diversify. He provides a list of his ten recommendations, his ten stock picks, for beginners or those who just want to retool their equity portfolios.
Cramer’s Top Ten Recommendations
1. Buy a local company. Something in your neighbourhood or area that you can talk to people about because they work there, or have friends there, or because you regularly use their product or service. Cramer’s big on making sure you talk to people before you make your stock selections. With the internet, we’re all too quick to hit “buy” without having the “brake” that comes with having to air your idea out on someone else. Of course with DRIPs, it takes so much time and paperwork (relatively speaking) to enrol in one, that you’ve had quite a bit of time to think about it - it’s not as easy as just clicking away in your discount broker’s order-window.
2. Buy an oil stock. This wasn’t as much of a no-brainer back in 2005, apparently. It is now. Choose from Exxon, ChevronTexaco, BP, ConocoPhillips. If you’re unsure, where do you buy gas? Well, try to buy that company. Oil does well in all markets.
3. Buy a brand-name blue-chip that has a yield of at least 2.5%. This way the higher yield affords it some protection in case the sky falls down. I guess the rationale is that if the company gets into trouble, at least it can cancel its dividend in order to pull back some needed money. That makes sense to me. It’s another great reason for loving dividend stocks.
4. Buy a financial stock. Like a bank or savings-and-loan. Again, here in Canada, anyway, that’s a no-brainer. Canada’s banks have more cash than they know what to do with. And Canada’s economy is even more so dominated by financials probably than even the U.S. is, simply because its economy is less diversified. But in the U.S., Cramer recommends a local bank if possible. You use it, why not own it. You’ll be more familiar with its moves and operations. At this point, you have to make sure you stay diversified. If you buy local here, AND your company is a blue-chip, you’ll be collapsing three different categories from Cramer’s menu…
5. Speculate on one potential hot growth stock. The next Microsoft or Home Depot, as he says. He knows you want to try this anyway, so you might as well set aside 10% to do it - but no more than 20%!
6. Buy a “medicine-chest and fridge” stock. One of the soft-goods secular growth stocks: Proctor and Gamble, Colgate-Palmolive, Gillette, etc. Whatever has big shelf-space in the supermarket.
7. Buy a high-quality cyclical stock. Something like Dow, Deere, Boeing, United Technologies, DuPont, Caterpillar, etc. He says these stocks always get beaten up throughout the year, and if you wait long enough, you’ll find a bargain. I just checked out 3M and it turns out they’re trading near their 52-week low. Good time to buy.
8. Own some technology company. It’s riskier not to. Cramer says he’s so conservative that he makes sure he gets a tech company with some yield. That makes a lot of sense to me. As I’ve said before, I still don’t understand the logic of buying Google and Apple et al. with no dividends and insanely high PE ratios (for me). “If you think that I am being too stodgy, you have an easy choice: make your tech stock your speculative stock.” Again, Cramer’s making good sense here.
9. Buy a retailer that hasn’t yet expanded fully throughout the country, “and has preferably saturated only one region of the nation on a march to national status.” Cramer thinks that once the retailer is everywhere, and has stopped geographic expansion, it becomes a poor investment. He includes Wal-Mart in the latter camp. Right now Cramer likes Cabela’s “because it is a high-end camping and hunting store that could go for years before it saturates the landscape.”
10. Buy a “hope for the future”, non-tech, mid-cap stock from the S&P 600. He suggests a biotech company. Something that will turn out to be the Amgen and Starbucks of tomorrow. The S&P 600 is the “proving ground” for the S&P 500, he says, “a natural place to hunt for some good names.” If you need help, pick something from the New America Index in the Investor’s Business Daily. This last category doesn’t make as much sense to me. It sounds like another speculation. Perhaps Cramer just wants to focus on the mid-cap range. I’d consider this a mid-capper, with aims to grow into the S&P 500.
Not exactly rocket science, this list. But every Wednesday Cramer gets calls into his radio show and they play “Am I Diversified?” and Cramer apparently knocks many of them down. I’ve never heard or seen his shows, so I don’t have any real opinion about it, except amazement that there are that many people who don’t understand diversification. On that note, one thing that might strike you as a bit odd about this list of Cramer’s is that it doesn’t seem to include any non-US stocks. That’s a big no-no, and you shouldn’t have to ask why. I would slide some foreign stock into categories 5 and 10 - actually, you could slide a foreign stock into any of those categories. If you look at category 9 and think of China…. boom! Fireworks.
What about you? Cramer fans?













