June 3, 2011
in DJIA, QE, S&P 500, deflation, earnings, economy, holidays, indicators, market reports, news and updates, recession, seasonal investing
The U.S. economic “recovery” is showing signs of officially slowing down at the ripe old age of two years. This is threatening to look like the end of a bull market (and it would be happening at a seasonally appropriate time for it, too). Bull nor bear, we’re likely to be in a trading range [...]
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December 3, 2010
in 2010, December, FOMC, Federal Reserve, QE, US debt, US economy, USD, central banks, economy, indicators, inflation, money supply, news and updates, stimulus
Apparently the late-Friday surge in stock markets might have been due to the possibility that “the Ben Bernanke” will intimate the possibility of higher levels of QE2 than initially indicated. More than $600 billion in Treasury purchases by June 2011, in other words.
Reuters caught sight of a report on the CBS website indicating that Bernanke [...]
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October 15, 2010
in 2010, FOMC, Federal Reserve, USD, indicators, inflation, market reports, market timing, money supply, news and updates, recession, stimulus, stimulus plan
Trading volumes have been historically low and stock markets in a trading range for quite some time now, even taking the brief September rally into consideration (buoyed by the Aug. 27 Jackson Hole speech comments by Bernanke with a view to the necessity for more quantitative easing in the near future).
Any given hour of the [...]
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October 1, 2010
in 2010, Jim Rogers, Obama, October, Peter Schiff, bull market, commodities, currencies, gold, hedging, hyperinflation, indicators, inflation, market reports, market trends, precious metals, seasonal investing
Gold prices broke out past the $1300/oz mark later in September, just as I predicted in my post on gold prices in August. It didn’t take much market turmoil or negative market news to push gold higher – just the promise of QE lite in November and the prospect that the midterm elections will remain [...]
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July 4, 2010 · 3 comments
in Federal Reserve, US debt, US economy, collapse, debt, deficits, deflation, economy, forecasts, market crash, market reports, recession, stimulus
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By all counts it seems clear that the odds of the U.S. falling into a double-dip recession have increased. If you just look at the charts of the DJIA alone, you can see the breakdown in prices, but there are other factors, too.
1. State Anti-Stimulus Programs Larger than Federal Stimulus Programs. I think this was [...]
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The Bank of England surprised all economic estimates today when it revealed that the UK GDP continued to contract in the third quarter. Most analysts were expecting modest growth, and the Bank of England itself had been jawboning the notion that there would be growth. Instead, GDP contracted by 0.4%, which raises questions about other [...]
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Over the last two weeks, I think I’ve read about FIVE times in the news that the stimulus bill has passed. Passed in the House, passed in Congress, passed in the Senate (that’s today); revised and passed again. It makes sense that it would have to pass through all the different bodies of the US [...]
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